How are you feeling?
Three checks that catch most nonsense
- Orders of magnitude. How many powers of ten does the claim jump? The bigger the leap, the stronger the evidence it needs.
- Dimensions. Do the units of the formula match the units of what it’s supposed to compute?
- Calibration. Was your confidence honest — do your 90%s come true about 90% of the time?
The three checks
- Order of magnitude — the power of ten a quantity sits at; the gap between two is just counting powers of ten.
- Dimensional analysis — tracking length, time, and mass through a formula so a unit error is visible before any number.
- The Brier score — (your probability − what happened)²; it punishes confident-and-wrong far more than being unsure.
More ways in
More ways to play
Brain break
What next? Pick a door
- More like this CentralForge Hike rates, or hold them? WorthQuest What is this math worth to you? NimForge Is this position won or lost?
- A bit harder Proof Sweeper Can you prove this square is safe? PatchNotes Is the number the thing you wanted? AxiomForge Can you prove 2 + 2 = 4?
- Something different TranslateDojo What does this saying really mean? CauseForge Correlation, or cause? FeelDojo Does this answer you, or bait you?